Fair Launch Tokenomics: 1B Supply with Moderate Vesting

This scenario models a fair launch token allocation with 1B total supply and a moderate vesting profile. Moderate vesting uses the template's default cliff and unlock settings, representing a balanced approach. The composite risk score for this configuration is Conservative (9/100).

For educational and illustrative purposes only. Not financial or investment advice. Simulated tokenomics parameters do not predict actual token performance.

Scenario Parameters

Template

Fair Launch

Total Supply

1B

Vesting Profile

moderate

Risk Level

Conservative

TGE Circulating

58.5%

Full Unlock

Month 36

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Risk Score Breakdown

Composite score: 9/100 (Conservative)

Insider TGE Unlock (25% weight) 0/100
Short Cliffs (25% weight) 25/100
Inflation Rate (20% weight) 0/100
TGE Circulating Supply (15% weight) 17/100
Allocation Concentration (15% weight) 0/100
Cliff-Drop Events

2

Crossover Month

Month 1

TGE Circulating

58.5%

Circulating at 12mo

81.0%

Insider Control at 12mo

1.2%

Insider Control at 24mo

7.4%

How This Scenario Compares

Scenario Risk Score TGE % Full Unlock Crossover Cliff Drops
Fair Launch 1B moderate 9/100 58.5% Mo 36 Mo 1 2
Standard DeFi 1B moderate 11/100 17.5% Mo 54 Mo 1 1
Community DAO 1B moderate 11/100 14.0% Mo 60 Mo 1 1
Venture-Backed 1B moderate 9/100 16.7% Mo 54 Mo 1 1

Key Concepts for This Scenario

Frequently Asked Questions

What risk level does a Fair Launch template with moderate vesting at 1B supply produce?

The composite risk score is 9/100, rated "Conservative". The highest-scoring factor is Short Cliffs at 25/100 (25% weight), while Allocation Concentration scores lowest at 0/100. This configuration produces 2 cliff-drop events where more than 5% of supply unlocks in a single month.

How much 1B supply circulates at TGE and 12 months with moderate fair launch vesting?

At TGE, 58.5% of supply enters circulation. By month 12, circulating supply reaches 81.0%, with insiders controlling 1.2% of the circulating tokens. The 58.5% TGE float is above the 5-50% sweet spot, contributing 0/100 to the TGE Circulating factor.

When does community ownership exceed insider control in this fair launch scenario?

All tokens fully vest by month 36. Community ownership crosses insider control at month 1. At month 12, insiders still hold 1.2% of circulating supply. The month-1 crossover reflects the fair launch template's heavy community allocation — one of the earliest transitions possible.

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For educational purposes only. Not financial, investment, or legal advice. See Terms of Service.

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